Archive for April, 2008

Next Gen Broadband

Wired.com had an article today titled “Broadband 2.0 Poised to Reshape Web, TV” talking about Verizon and Comcast driving to speeds of 50 – 100 Mbps and how having those speeds will not only enable, but change the ways people use the media. A much richer experience is in store with audio and video.

It’s about time for this to occur. The speeds will beget the applications. Will it be available and affordable for everyone?

-Andy

More on capacity issues and the Internet

CNet has an article today titled “AT&T: Internet to hit full capacity by 2010” with some very interesting claims by the VP of Governmental Affairs for AT&T, Jim Cicconi:

” Speaking at a Westminster eForum on Web 2.0 this week in London, Jim Cicconi, vice president of legislative affairs for AT&T, warned that the current systems that constitute the Internet will not be able to cope with the increasing amounts of video and user-generated content being uploaded.”

Claims:

  • at least $55 billion worth of investment was needed in new infrastructure in the next three years in the U.S. alone, with the figure rising to $130 billion to improve the network worldwide
  • unprecedented new wave of broadband traffic” would increase 50-fold by 2015
  • Eight hours of video is loaded onto YouTube every minute. Everything will become HD very soon, and HD is 7 to 10 times more bandwidth-hungry than typical video today. Video will be 80 percent of all traffic by 2010, up from 30 percent today
  • In three years’ time, 20 typical households will generate more traffic than the entire Internet today

Wow! Is this really correct? The one that may be the kicker is the one about video being 80% of all traffic by 2010. I see this coming.

Let me know your thoughts.

-Andy

More DTV Transition Concerns

In an article from CNET titled Senators still sweating digital TV switch, the politicians are now voicing their concerns about how to get the message out about the February 17, 2009 conversion from analog to digital TV. For those who don’t follow this discussion, for some time television stations around the country have been running digital and analog broadcasts in parallel and next February 17, the analog signals will be discontinued. What does this mean? If you have an analog television and you either use an antenna or you don’t have it connected to a cable box or satellite box, then you will not be able to get a picture starting February 17, 2009. The cable boxes and satellite boxes do the conversion for you and your old tv should still work.

Even with the best implementation of this, it is very difficult to get the word out to everyone and even more difficult to help people know what to do. Most people don’t have any idea if they have a digital tv or an analog tv. Many don’t have a clue about the difference between digital and analog. How many have a 2nd and 3rd tv set in their bedrooms that are either using rabbit ears or connected directly to the cable without a converter box? The problem as it can currently be understood will affect over 20 million households.

Our Congressmen and Senators in Washington and in reality, all of the elected officials around the country need to understand this challenge and use whatever means they have to insure the smoothest transition. At a local level, we’re planning to use our website, newsletter and other communication means, well in advance to help our citizens prepare for the change.

In the U.S., people have their televisions turned on an average of 7.1 hours per day. TVs going blank would be similar to turning electricity off to nearly 1/5th of the homes in our country. Yes, the Senators should be concerned and the challenge of this transition is huge!

Surface Computing at AT&T Stores

Several blog posts and articles were out today announcing that AT&T is putting Surface Computing tables in their stores. This came out of an announcement by AT&T at the CTIA conference. There are some pretty nice videos of what this technology can do: Good video on Surface Computing

This is kind of a gimmick by AT&T, but could drive interest and people into their stores. More importantly this may be a leading edge of getting these multi-touch, surface computing platforms out where people can use them.

So, what’s next? I can envision surface computing used by architects, engineers, city planners, in restaurants and bars, in any environment where interactivity is key.

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